A Metal with a Past. But An Even Bigger Future
Silver has played multiple roles throughout history, serving as a currency, a store of value, and an industrial workhorse. However, in today’s economic climate, silver is rapidly becoming something far more critical —a pressure valve in a monetary system on the verge of structural collapse.
While some still view silver through the lens of its 19th-century monetary history, at Delta Harbour, we see it through a modern, strategic lens. Silver is no longer just a forgotten cousin of gold; it’s a highly reactive asset that historically surges during periods of threatened high inflation, debt devaluation, and systemic risk. And based on the trajectory we’re on, those conditions are no longer theoretical. They are unfolding in real-time.
Pro Tip – “We’d rather be 1,000 days early than one day too late. If you wait until the crisis is obvious, you’ve already missed it.”
Silver and the Fall of Empires: Rome’s Warning to the Modern World
One of the most telling historical precedents comes from the Roman Empire, a civilization whose monetary collapse still echoes in modern policy failures.
At its peak, the Roman denarius contained between 95% - 98% silver, serving as a key component in trade, taxation, and military pay. But as Rome's expansion slowed and its costs soared, emperors resorted to debasement. They gradually reduced the silver content to finance deficits without raising taxes.
By the reign of Emperor Gallienus around 260 AD, the once-trusted coin had fallen to less than 5% silver. It was replaced by a bronze coated with a thin silver wash that rubbed off in days. Confidence collapsed. Prices surged. Trade disintegrated. What followed was the Crisis of the Third Century, a prolonged era of inflation, fragmentation, and chaos.
This was not just economic mismanagement. It was a warning still relevant today:
When governments control the money supply and cannot resist the urge to debase, the outcome is always the same. A result of loss of trust, systemic collapse, and a return to tangible value.
Silver was not merely a casualty in Rome’s decline. It was a barometer of fiscal integrity, and its corrosion foreshadowed the empire’s unravelling long before the history books caught up.
Centuries later, in 1971, the world took its own fateful step away from monetary discipline when President Nixon severed the last link between the U.S. dollar and gold. Today, we live under central banks that have unlimited printing power and no structural restraints. No free market in history has sustained such a system for so long.
Pro Tip - When the U.S. dollar strengthens, gold and silver prices often dip. But when the dollar weakens, gold and subsequently silver tend to shine. They move like a seesaw, so keep an eye on the dollar index if you're tracking gold's next move. We are currently entering an extended period of expected U.S. dollar weakness.
Fast Forward: A System on the Brink
We are now witnessing the consequences of over 50 years of unbacked monetary expansion:
- Global debt has surpassed $300 trillion—a figure impossible to reconcile without massive inflation or currency debasement.
- U.S. deficits are projected to exceed $2-$3 trillion annually for the foreseeable future.
- Central banks purchased a record in 2023 of 1,037 tonnes of gold, and then made another record in 2024, purchasing 1,044.6 tonnes. The World Gold Council reported that global gold demand hit a record high in 2024, driven by central bank purchases and investment demand and 2025 should be even higher.
- Meanwhile, the silver market remains microscopic in comparison to other assets. The entire global silver supply is worth less than 1% of the market cap of Microsoft or Apple.
And yet, silver remains strategically essential—not just as a monetary hedge, but as a vital metal in medical, solar, electronics, EV tech, batteries and national defence, to name a few.
Silver's Real Role in Modern Times: Crisis Catalyst
At Delta Harbour, we’re not here to sell dreams. We focus on facts. There is so much money to be made in such a short period of time with minimal effort, and all of it comes with the assurance that you have a world-class piece of collateral in silver should you require defence beyond the markets.
Silver isn’t about nostalgia. It’s about leverage during dislocation. When the world gets chaotic, whether due to inflation, currency collapse, or monetary policy failure, silver doesn’t just participate; it explodes.
Let’s consider a few examples:
Crisis Period |
Silver Price Surge |
1976–1980 Stagflation |
$2.50 to $52 (1900% + return) |
2008–2011 QE Era |
$8.50 to $49 (476% + return) |
2020–2021 Pandemic |
$11.50 to $29+ (150% + in 8 months) |
2022–Present – New Bull |
$17 to $39+ (129% So Far To Date) |
These are not flukes. They are patterns tied to the same root cause: loss of confidence in currency and policy leadership.
Why Silver Now? Four Key Underlying Drivers
- Inflation Is Not Going Away
- Despite manipulated CPI data, real-world inflation remains elevated. Housing, food, energy, and services are all climbing. We no longer trust our government statistics to provide us with accurate information. It is simply not reality.
- Silver, historically, has outpaced inflation by 2-5x during monetary resets.
- Debt Spiral = Currency Crisis
- The U.S. and Canada are in a sovereign debt trap. The only politically palatable way out? Inflate the debt away.
- Supply Constraints
- The silver supply is shrinking. Major miners are underinvesting, and grades are declining.
- Industrial demand from solar and AI tech is surging.
- Tiny Market = Massive Volatility
- Silver is volatile because it's small. In a panic, it doesn’t need billions to move—just a spark. Although this works both ways, the root silver market is in a state of fluctuation, changing dramatically as the world awakens to the notion that the last 20 years have been about paper, while the next 20 years will be about physical.
- That volatility, when positioned right, becomes asymmetric upside for investors.
Strategic Perspective: Silver Is a Call Option on Monetary Breakdown
At Delta Harbour, we see silver as an industrial metal with a monetary wildcard. It is the insurance policy against monetary disorder, and a leveraged way to participate in what could be one of the most significant shifts in financial history.
When the next liquidity wave arrives, silver will not be a slow mover; it will react explosively, just as it has in every period of monetary stress over the last 50 years.
Pro Tip - Unlike crypto or tech stocks, silver is tangible, tested, and globally recognized; it is also globally liquid, without the need for electronics or the internet.
Final Thought: Timing the Inevitable
If there’s one principle that governs crisis investing, it’s this:
It’s better to be 1,000 days early than 1 day too late.
I read these statistics this week of Canada’s wealth gap.
· The top 5% own 48% of all the wealth
· The top 2% hold over 30%
· The bottom 50%? Just 6.4%
· 1 in 4 millennials think they will never own a home
· 67% of Canadians are living paycheque to paycheque
You do not buy silver when inflation is beginning to slow or when we have witnessed the peak because by then, the opportunity is gone. You buy it when the system is stretched, debt is ballooning, and central banks are quietly hedging behind the curtain. In other words: you buy now.
Your Next Step: Secure Your Allocation
We’re not advocating putting your entire portfolio into silver. But in a world increasingly shaped by monetary excess, not owning physical silver may be the most significant risk of all.
Let’s talk strategy. Let us show you what a balanced and intentional silver position can do inside or outside your registered accounts.
Contact us today to start a conversation about owning physical silver with purpose, backed by real insights and real delivery.
Yours to the penny,
Darren V. Long
📞 1.877.323.4653
🌐 www.deltaharbour.com
📧 dlong@deltaharbour.com